Disclaimer

Not affiliated with Polymarket

Trading Polymarket is independent coverage. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to Polymarket, and it does not speak for Polymarket. Polymarket is a trademark of its owner. Market data shown here comes from Polymarket’s public feeds and links back to the live market pages on polymarket.com.

Analysis only, never trading advice

Nothing on this site is trading advice, investment advice, or financial advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. No “buy YES” language appears on this site, ever. Stories lay out the case for and against, the risks, and what would change the picture, so readers can think for themselves.

Prices move

A price on this site is a snapshot verified at the date and time stated on the page. It is not a live quote. Prices move, sometimes fast, and a price that was right in the morning can be wrong by the evening. Check the live market on polymarket.com before acting on anything here.

A price is not a prediction that something will happen

A contract trading at 72 cents means traders price about a 72 percent chance the event happens. That means it fails about one time in four. When a high-priced contract loses, the market was not necessarily wrong. It priced the risk, and the less likely outcome happened.

Resolution and edge cases

How a market resolves is defined by Polymarket’s own rules for that market. Some markets have ambiguous or contested resolutions. Where a resolution is ambiguous, this site says so plainly instead of making a confident call it cannot support.

No sponsored odds, no pay-to-rank

No market, price, or story on this site is paid for, and no sponsor touches a market call. If that ever changes, it will be disclosed on the page itself.

Liability

This site is provided as-is for information and commentary. Trading Polymarket is not liable for trading decisions, losses, or outcomes that follow from reading it.
Questions: appliedfieldco@gmail.com.

Scroll to Top